Milwaukee Brewers at Cincinnati Reds – May 21, 2021

The Cincinnati Reds (19-23) desperately need a win to stop the bleeding from a four-game losing skid. The Reds will play the first of three games against the Milwaukee Brewers (21-22) tonight at 7:10 pm. The Reds come into play for 5.5 games in NL Central. They are 1.5 games behind the Brewers for third place. Fangraphs currently has the Brewers with a 35.7% chance of winning the division (Cardinals are at 37.4%, Reds are at 7.7%), so while a battle for third place in the division may not not seem like a big deal, getting ahead of the Brewers would be a nice step for the Reds.

This will be the Reds’ first series of the season against the Brewers. The last time these two teams met was in September 2020 in Cincinnati. The Reds won 2 of 3 at all, but won a trip to the playoffs. The Brewers are just 4-11 in their last 15 games. The Brewers’ top two players (pitcher or position player) in fWAR are SP Corbin Burnes (2.2 fWAR) and Brandon Woodruff (1.8 fWAR). The Reds are fortunate to miss both pitchers in this series. The Brewers are ranked 27th in the MLB in OPS (.654). They have scored 1 point or less in 6 of their last 12 games.

Programming note: tonight’s game is exclusively on FOX Sports 1. Kevin Burkhardt and Eric Karros will be on call.

Starting throwers

Jeff Hoffman has a 7.53 ERA / 5.44 FIP over his last four starts. He walked 11 batters in 14.1 innings. Hoffman has a 2.70 wpm career in 2 starts against the Brewers.

Adrian houser has a 5.64 ERA career in 22.0 IP against the Reds and has allowed 7 home runs. Houser started May with a pair of quality starts, but he didn’t make it past the third inning on his last start as he walked 5 batters.

First line

Milwaukee Brewers

Cincinnati Reds

Kolton Wong – 2B Jesse Winker – LF
Lorenzo Cain – CF Nick Castellanos – RF
Christian Yelich – LF Tyler Stephenson – 1B
Omar Narvaez – C Tyler Naquin – CF
Daniel Vogelbach – 1B Eugenio Suarez – 3B
Travis Shaw – 3B Tucker Barnhart – C
Jackie Bradley Jr. – RF Kyle Farmer – SS
Luis Urias – SS Jonathan India – 2B
Adrian Houser – SP Jeff Hoffman – SP

News and Notes

The list is moving galore

The Cincinnati Reds put Nick Senzel and Wade Miley on the injured list this afternoon before the game. They also nominated Carson Fulmer for the assignment and promoted outfielder Scott Heineman and right-handed pitchers Ashton Goudeau and Brad Brach. Doug Gray wrote a bit more about it here if you want to give it a read.

Conclusion

This series looks like a good game overall for the Reds to get back on track. Tonight’s game is probably the biggest challenge of the weekend, but Winker, Castellanos and Suarez have a combined 6 HR in 31 at-bats against Adrian Houser. Tonight is a good time to find the good vibrations. Go Red!




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