Bucks vs Bulls prediction, odds, line: 2022 NBA picks, model’s Jan. 21 best bets on 56-30 run

The Chicago Bulls and Milwaukee Bucks face off in a Central Division battle on Friday night. The Bulls are 28-15 this season with a 12-9 road record. The Bucks are 28-19 overall and 15-8 in home games at Forum Fiserv. Zach LaVine (knee), Lonzo Ball (knee), Derrick Jones Jr. (knee), Javonte Green (adductor) and Patrick Williams (wrist) are out for the Bulls. Brook Lopez (back) is out for the Bucks.

Tipping is at 8 p.m. ET in Milwaukee. Caesars Sportsbook lists the Bucks as 8.5-point home favorites, while the plus-or-minus, or total number of runs Vegas thinks it will score, is 227 in the latest Bulls vs. Bucks odds. Before making Bucks vs. Bucks picks or NBA predictions, you need to see what SportsLine’s advanced computer model has to say.

The SportsLine projection model simulates every NBA game 10,000 times and has returned more than $10,000 in profit on its top-rated NBA picks over the past three seasons. The model enters Week 14 of the 2021-22 NBA season on a stunning 56-30 turnover on all top-rated NBA picks, grossing over $2,200. Anyone who follows him has seen huge returns.

Now the model has set his sights on Bulls vs. Bucks and has his picks and NBA predictions locked in. You can head over to SportsLine now to see the model choices. Here are several NBA odds betting lines for Bucks vs Bulls:

  • Spread Bulls vs Bucks: Bucks -8.5
  • Bulls vs. Bucks over-under: 227 points
  • Money line Bulls vs Bucks: Bucks -440, Bulls +340
  • CHI: Bulls are 11-10 ATS in road games
  • MIL: Bucks are 9-14 ATS in home games

Featured game | Milwaukee Bucks vs. Chicago Bulls

Why the Bulls can cover

Chicago’s offense is what drives its overall success. The Bulls are scoring over 1.12 points per possession this season, a top-five mark in the NBA, and Chicago is No. 2 in overall shooting efficiency. The Bulls are No. 2 in field goal percentage at 47.5% and No. 4 in free throw percentage at 81.0%, with Chicago leading the league in 3-point accuracy at 38.8%.

The Bulls are generating more than 24 assists per game with just 13.2 turnovers per game, a huge ratio, and the Bucks are No. 29 in 3-pointers allowed with below-average assist prevention. On the other end, the Bulls are in the top 10 in 3-pointers allowed (11.4 per game) and turnovers created (14.3 per game), with Chicago creating 7.7 steals per game. Milwaukee is below par in generating assists, and the Bulls can match effectively.

Why the Bucks can cover

The Bucks are terrific defensively, allowing less than 1.08 points per possession. Milwaukee is No. 3 in the NBA in percentage defense with 43.8%, and the Bucks are top five in 3-point defense with 33.7%. Milwaukee is also in the league’s top 10 in free throw attempts allowed (19.7 per game) and points in the paint allowed (42.8 per game).

The Bucks are getting over 73% of available defensive rebounds, with opponents generating just 11.6 quick break points per game. Chicago struggles on offensive glass and with free throw creation, and the Bucks should be able to take advantage of those shortcomings. The Bucks are also very good on offense, scoring over 1.11 points per possession with an elite 3-point shooting profile. Chicago is solid defensively, but the Bulls rank near the bottom of the NBA in 3-point percentage allowed and free throw attempts allowed.

How to Make Bulls vs Bucks Picks

SportsLine’s model looks at total points, projecting a combined 219 points. The model also indicates that one side of the gap hits in more than 50% of the simulations. You can only see the model’s Bucks vs. Bulls picks on SportsLine.

So who wins Bulls versus Bucks? And which side of the gap hits in more than 50% of the simulations? Visit SportsLine now to see which side of the Bulls vs Bucks spread you need to jump on Friday, all from the model who crushed his NBA picks, and find out.

About Marc Womack

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